000K utf8 1100 2020$c2020-11-10 1500 eng 2050 urn:nbn:de:hbz:464-20201110-130228-9 2051 10.17185/duepublico/73328 3000 Miller, Grant 3010 de Paula, Áureo 3010 Valente, Christine 4000 Subjective Expectations and Demands for Contraception [Miller, Grant] 4209 One quarter of married, fertile‐age women in Sub‐Saharan Africa report not wanting a pregnancy and yet do not use contraceptives. To study this issue, we collect detailed data on women’s subjective probabilistic beliefs and estimate a structural model of contraceptive choices. Our results indicate that costly interventions like eliminating supply constraints would only modestly increase contraceptive use. Alternatively, increasing partners’ approval of methods, aligning partners’ fertility preferences with women’s beliefs about pregnancy risk absent contraception have the potential to increase use considerably. Results from a before/after experiment testing this last finding are highly consistent with the structural estimates. 4950 https://doi.org/10.17185/duepublico/73328$xR$3Volltext$534 4950 https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hbz:464-20201110-130228-9$xR$3Volltext$534 4961 https://duepublico2.uni-due.de/receive/duepublico_mods_00073328 5051 330 5051 610 5550 Contraception 5550 Mozambique 5550 Probabilistic Beliefs